High of the agricultural commodities prices and international demand can protect Brazilian market
02/14/2009
The acceleration of the international prices of the main agricultural commodities, the demand increase in Asia (mainly India and China) and the reduced stocks of the countries can attenuate the noxious effects in the section, caused by the international financial crisis, and to increase the world productivity, mainly the Brazilian.
The evaluation belongs to the president of Superior Council of Agrobuseness (Cosag) of Fiesp, Roberto Rodrigues, former agriculture minister. As he says, if the prices continue in this landing and with discharge inclination, Brazil can compensate some losses of the agriculture.
“In a moment that several countries are adopting politics to protect their markets, Brazil cannot be left out and it should enter in the game of the neoprotecionism”, declared Rodrigues on this Monday (2) in collective interview in Fiesp, soon after the monthly meeting of Cosag. For the former-minister, the Country needs to revalue his protection politics and commercial defense.
Present to the meeting, the secretary of International Relationships of the Ministry of the Agriculture, Célio Porto, was shown optimist, in spite of affirming that the exports of the section, in dollar, will fall about 10% to 15% in 2009.
However, he said, the agricultural producers will have more moneyl in box, due to the depreciation of the North American currency. “If the exchange continues in this landing, the farmers will have an increase in Real of 10%”, said the secretary.
Chairs dance - Célio Porto presented a panorama of the agricultural exports of the last ten years, whose result signaled a change of the exporter list and a dance of the chairs among the main buyers from Brazil.
In 1998, for instance, the exports of coffee were responsible for 12,1% of the agricultural sales of Brazil. Already last year, this number fell by half, corresponding to 6,5%. The section of meats (bovine, chicken and pigs), jumped of 7,5% in 1998 to 20% in 2007.
The ranking of main buyers' of the Brazilian products also changed. In 2007, the United States was as isolated leaders. Today they occupy the third position, losing space for China, with 11% (US$ 7,9 bi) of the Brazilian exports of the agrobusiness.
Célio Porto says that, although the meat section has shown a dizzy growth in the last ten years, the Country still confronts seizure problems with the United States, South Korea, Canada, Mexico and other countries that don't import of Brazil bovine and suine meats. Other countries like Chile just buy of Parana and of Santa Catarina states.
(Agency Indusnet Fiesp)